Il-Prezzijiet taż-Żejt qabżu l-110 Dollaru Amerikan, Qoton U Shorts tal-Polyester żdiedu sew! It-taqlib fis-Suq tal-Materja Prima tat-Tessuti Intensifika. Kemm Taffettwa s-Sitwazzjoni fl-Ukrajna Is-Suq tat-Tessuti?

Il-prezzijiet taż-żejt qabżu l-110 dollaru Amerikan, xorts tal-qoton u tal-poliester żdiedu drastikament! It-taqlib fis-suq tal-materja prima tat-tessuti intensifikat. Kemm taffettwa s-sitwazzjoni fl-Ukrajna s-suq tat-tessuti?

Affettwat mill-eskalazzjoni tat-tensjonijiet bejn ir-Russja u l-Ukrajna, illum il-prezzijiet internazzjonali taż-żejt żdiedu drastikament, bil-futures taż-żejt mhux raffinat Brent żdiedu 3.44 fil-mija għal 110.91 kull barmil, l-ogħla livell ġdid mill-2014. għoli ġdid minn Marzu 2013, sa 6.37 fil-mija fil-ġurnata. Il-gwerra Russa-Ukranjana bla dubju se jkollha impatt kbir fuq is-swieq taż-żejt bl-ingrossa u tal-qamħ fi żmien qasir. Iż-żieda fil-prezzijiet taż-żejt tappoġġja l-prezz tal-fibra diskontinwa tal-poliester. Il-varjazzjoni fil-prezz tal-fibra staple tal-poliester se taffettwa aktar il-prezz tal-qoton u l-viscose. L-instabilità tas-suq tal-materja prima se tinxtara minn intrapriżi tal-għażil tal-qoton. Il-materja prima tikkawża xi problemi, u ċ-ċaqliq tar-rata tal-kambju, it-tbaħħir u l-ostruzzjonijiet tat-toroq tal-art huma bla dubju restrizzjonijiet kbar li jiffaċċjaw kumpaniji tal-kummerċ barrani.

Is-sitwazzjoni fir-Russja u l-Ukrajna hija imprevedibbli. Taħt l-influwenza tal-kunflitt bejn ir-Russja u l-Ukraina, il-prezz riċenti taż-żejt, il-qoton Zheng u l-aħmar qasir tal-poliester kellhom ċertu impatt fuq il-kwotazzjoni għas-suq tat-tessuti. Kien hemm ħafna aħbarijiet dwar it-talba għall-prezzijiet qabel ma ssir ordni fiċ-ċirku ta 'ħbieb ta' nies tat-tessuti. Mill-perspettiva tal-iżvilupp tas-suq, il-varjazzjonijiet qawwija fil-prezzijiet tal-materja prima u r-rati tal-kambju huma test tar-ritmu tal-produzzjoni u tal-bejgħ tal-intrapriżi, speċjalment għall-intrapriżi tal-kummerċ barrani. Bil-varjazzjonijiet tar-rata tal-kambju, se jkun hemm aġġustament relattivament kbir.

1. Ħarsa ġenerali lejn l-industrija tat-tessuti Russa

①The supply and demand of textile and clothing raw materials

Russia's raw cotton (cotton fiber) is mainly imported, mostly from Uzbekistan or Azerbaijan. In 2020, Russia's cotton imports totaled 487 million.

Il-provvista ideali ta 'materja prima fir-Russja hija l-qanneb u l-fibra kimika. Il-kittien huwa wieħed mill-eqdem industriji fir-Russja, iżda l-produzzjoni u l-ipproċessar iffaċċjaw diffikultajiet matul is-snin.

Russia's chemical fiber production is growing at an annual rate of 5 percent to 6 percent , and the annual growth rate of total consumption is 11 percent to 12 percent . Therefore, the import share remains high, at least 60 percent . The main importing countries are Belarus, China, South Korea and India.

② Supply and demand of semi-finished products of textile and clothing in Russia

Il-prodotti Russi tat-tessuti u tal-ħwejjeġ semi-lesti huma prinċipalment importati minn pajjiżi Asjatiċi, speċjalment iċ-Ċina u l-Indja, fejn id-drappijiet tal-qoton u l-prodotti tal-ħajt huma bi prezz baxx-. Barra minn hekk, hemm pajjiż bl-industrija tat-tessuti bħala l-industrija tal-pilastru tagħha - it-Turkija.

Russia is an important export market for Chinese textiles and clothing. According to my country's statistics, under the influence of the epidemic, the bilateral trade volume between China and Russia in 2020 was US107.77 billion, a slight decrease of 2.9 percent year-on-year, and exceeded the US100 billion mark for three consecutive years. China's share in Russia's foreign trade has further increased, and it has been Russia's largest trading partner for 11 consecutive years. From 2000 to 2020, China's textile and apparel exports to Russia increased from 1.11 billion to 7.65 billion in 2020, a cumulative increase of nearly 6 times.

2. Overview of Ukraine's textile industry

L-Ukraina hija ċ-ċentru tad-distribuzzjoni tad-drapp fl-Ewropa Ċentrali u tal-Lvant, u għandha l-akbar suq fiżiku tad-drapp fl-Ewropa tal-Lvant.

From the perspective of trade, Ukraine is dominated by women's consumption power, there are many niche designer brands, and domestic demand is strong. Ukraine also exports clothing to EU countries and Canada (duty-free), and exports to Russia through gray channels are also tax-free. Ukrainian fabrics mainly come from China and Turkey, and the logistics mainly pass through the Suez Canal, and then reach the Black Sea port city of Odessa after passing through Turkey.